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Campbell’s Tomato Soup: The Inflation Detective

remains Americans’ top concern while Swiss inflation hit zero.1. The Tomato Soup Price IndexOne of the simplest ways to show currency debasement is...

Modeling Shortfall Risk versus Inflation – What a Good Hedge Looks Like

When people ask me about hedging inflation, they aren’t always asking what they think they’re asking. There are two approaches to addressing inflation in...

Recovery, Inflation and Burden Sharing: 3 Calls for the Eurozone

We should see a recovery in the eurozone next year, but where are the structural reforms? We are watching inflation, which could undershoot, and,...

How Inflation Could Surprise Us in 2026

Like most economists, I’ve been busy peering into the crystal ball for 2026. It’s foggy, naturally, and dare I say it, a bit… boring. The...

Inside the Fed’s Split: Inflation and Jobs Divide on Rate Cuts

The tightrope walk of the Federal Reserve is now complicated by a deep split among its policymakers between inflation hawks and labor-market doves. That...

Play Your Inflation Cards Right

Higher? Lower? It’s game show time! Where’s inflation heading? Will 2026 be your year, and how will central banks play their cards? Fingers on...
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